Evolution of the Global Risk Network Mean-Field Stability Point

With a steadily growing human population and rapid advancements in technology, the global human network is increasing in size and connection density. This growth exacerbates networked global threats and can lead to unexpected consequences such as global epidemics mediated by air travel, threats in cyberspace, global governance, etc. A quantitative understanding of the mechanisms guiding this global network is necessary for proper operation and maintenance of the global infrastructure. Each year the World Economic Forum publishes an authoritative report on global risks, and applying this data to a CARP model, we answer critical questions such as how the network evolves over time. In the evolution, we compare not the current states of the global risk network at different time points, but its steady state at those points, which would be reached if the risk were left unabated. Looking at the steady states show more drastically the differences in the challenges Xiang Niu Network Science and Technology Center Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, NY 12180, USA, e-mail: [email protected] Alaa Moussawi Network Science and Technology Center Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, NY 12180, USA, e-mail: [email protected] Noemi Derzsy Network Science and Technology Center Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, NY 12180, USA, e-mail: [email protected] Xin Lin Network Science and Technology Center Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, NY 12180, USA, e-mail: [email protected] Gyorgy Korniss Network Science and Technology Center Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, NY 12180, USA, e-mail: [email protected] Boleslaw K. Szymanski Network Science and Technology Center Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, NY 12180, USA, e-mail: [email protected]